Refiner Neste Warns Of Weaker Biofuel Outlook Shares Drop

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Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market prices


(Adds analyst, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the 3rd time this year due to falling prices and also reduced its expected sales volumes, sending out the company's share rate down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the rate of regular diesel had actually impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock remained high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce eco-friendly diesel has developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.


Neste in a declaration slashed the anticipated typical equivalent sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had forecasted given that the start of the year, it included.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste stated.


"Renewable items' list prices have actually been negatively impacted by a substantial reduction in (the) diesel cost during the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.


"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have not reduced and sustainable item market value premiums have actually remained weak," the company added.


Industry executives and experts have actually said rapidly broadening Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually revealed they are pausing growth strategies in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)